Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.036170 0.042020 0.048516 0.056266 0.065263 0.075383 0.087637
2025-12-07 0.026704 0.034261 0.043515 0.055688 0.071295 0.090656 0.116540
2025-12-14 0.020763 0.028735 0.039254 0.054164 0.074788 0.102365 0.142146
2025-12-21 0.016781 0.024711 0.035834 0.052595 0.077270 0.112360 0.166246
2025-12-28 0.014606 0.022691 0.034645 0.053639 0.083148 0.127410 0.199166
2026-01-04 0.012746 0.020766 0.033195 0.053895 0.087636 0.140706 0.231004
2026-01-11 0.011234 0.019112 0.031853 0.054002 0.091718 0.153660 0.263802
2026-01-18 0.010118 0.017916 0.031034 0.054761 0.096830 0.168741 0.301937
2026-01-25 0.009292 0.017079 0.030670 0.056182 0.103158 0.186521 0.346948
2026-02-01 0.008118 0.015451 0.028697 0.054439 0.103547 0.193801 0.373830
2026-02-08 0.007303 0.014368 0.027553 0.054036 0.106287 0.205569 0.410473
2026-02-15 0.006585 0.013370 0.026432 0.053506 0.108658 0.216831 0.447459
2026-02-22 0.006111 0.012805 0.026098 0.054527 0.114329 0.235403 0.502078
2026-03-01 0.005523 0.011931 0.025044 0.053951 0.116673 0.247622 0.545282
2026-03-08 0.004924 0.010953 0.023651 0.052472 0.116895 0.255431 0.580028
2026-03-15 0.004398 0.010061 0.022324 0.050951 0.116807 0.262511 0.614043
2026-03-22 0.004133 0.009719 0.022146 0.051962 0.122501 0.282966 0.681327
2026-03-29 0.003838 0.009267 0.021665 0.052210 0.126454 0.299945 0.742707
2026-04-05 0.003563 0.008826 0.021153 0.052314 0.130069 0.316561 0.805440
2026-04-12 0.003354 0.008518 0.020916 0.053049 0.135309 0.337682 0.882261
2026-04-19 0.003200 0.008327 0.020936 0.054425 0.142327 0.364016 0.976029
2026-04-26 0.002891 0.007703 0.019812 0.052737 0.141259 0.369901 1.016831
2026-05-03 0.002680 0.007306 0.019213 0.052347 0.143557 0.384724 1.083795